About Me

Name: JTD
Email: THEMAELSTROMBLOG@AOL.COM
Loading...

Create Your Own Blog Find Other Townhall Blogs

Comments

Blog Roll

 

OBAMA VICTORY = ISRAELI STRIKE ON IRAN

Take it from one of those eeeeeevil speculators:  Don't look for a major drop in the price of oil until well after the election.   We may be down about 15% from the recent peaks, but that is well within normal market fluctuations.  I may be small potatoes when it comes to the extent of my speculation in the commodity markets, but I am well attuned to where the big boys are putting their money.
 
Those insiders are convinced that Israel is not going to stand by and let Little Man Ahmandinijad brings his nuclear weapons dream to fruition.  If Obama is elected, the Israelis are guaranteed to act before he takes office on January 20, 2009.    They have no faith in Obama's commitment to protect Israel or prevent Iran from getting nukes. 
 
An Israeli strike, whether with or without United States' support or participation,  is guaranteed to disrupt oil traffic in the Middle East for anywhere from a couple of weeks to several months.  Iran has credibly threatened to shut down the straits of Hormuz if their nuclear facilities are attacked.   Don't doubt that they have the means to do it.
 
Roughly 17 million barrels of oil per day or about 40% of all ocean-carried oil is shipped via tanker through these narrow straits.   All of the oil squeezing through the 21-mile strait is well within range of Iranian missiles and aircraft.   The sinking of only a few tankers would be sufficient to render those waters impassable.
 
If Israel is acting with the support of the United States, you can expect the American Navy to try to keep the straits open, but the Iranian response is likely to be intense.  It is possible that the Iranian response will also include strikes against its neighbors production facilities.  Facing Iran across the gulf and the straits, after all, are Saudia Arabia, the UAE, Qatar and Kuwait.  (We won't even consider here the 40,000-60,000 missiles aimed at Israel by Iranian proxies in Lebanon and Gaza.)
 
World producers, consumers and  -- yes -- speculators are hedging their bets based upon the expectation that a huge oil stockpile crisis is just around the corner. 
 
While an Obama election guarantees Israeli action between November 4, 2008 and January 20, 2009,  a McCain election victory does NOT eliminate the possibility of a strike against Iran, it merely widens the window of opportunity.  The Israelis know that they can count on John McCain to support action against Iran's nukes, and therefore, they will not feel compelled to act by January 20, 2009.
 
Of course, there is also the more remote possibility that Israel is already in possession of information concerning Iran's nuclear progress which makes immediate action necessary.  Whether Israel, under such circumstances, would take the risk of being accused of trying to influence the U.S. elections by acting before November 4th is unknown -- most likely remote, but not impossible.
 
Therefore, the threat of massive disruption of oil supplies is with us today and will be with us AT LEAST until January 20, 2009 if Obama is elected.   The risk remains if McCain is elected, but the action deadline will be extended to that time when Israel -- and perhaps the United States -- determines that Iran's nuclear program is approaching the point of no return and must be stopped then and there.
 
Think about it:  If you were a big money producer or consumer in the oil markets wouldn't YOU be hedging your interests right now?  Only a fool would not!  
 
Oh, and by the way, only a complete idiot (are you listening Miss Pelolsi) would be thinking about drawing on our strategic oil stockpiles now, when a massive market disruption may be only weeks away?
 
THE MAELSTROM QUOTE OF THE DAY"  "Sometimes war is the ONLY answer!"
 
TheMaelstrom
 
 
 
 
 
 
Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (1) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

THE UGLINESS OF WINDFARMS AND SOLAR

Okay, let's see if I have this right.
 
ANWR is 19,000,000 acres of desolation, all of it situated above the Arctic Circle.  Only 60 days a year does it experience anything even close to full sunlight.  If ANWR were a state, it would be larger than ten other states in the Union.
 
It is proposed that the U.S. permit oil drilling on a small portion of that 19,000,000 acres, about 12,000 acres or roughly the size of Dulles Airport in Washington D.C.   But no, we cannot be allowed to defile this desolate, albeit pristine, wilderness.
 
Same with off shore drilling.  Drilling platforms on the outer shelf would not even be visible from the mainland....not even from the highest skyscrapers near the coast.
 
But the environmentalists want to put wind farms in every conceivable pass or plain which affords steady, reliable wind flows.  These wind farms consist of hundreds, even thousand of six to ten-story behemoths that are themselves a blot upon the landscape.    Make the drive from Los Angeles to Palm Springs some time, and you will be appalled at the silhouettes of hundreds of these whooshing monsters sprouting like gargantuan mushrooms along the horizon.
 
How man millions of these mechanical abominations do the enviros propose that we scatter across the countryside from coast to coast?   We already know that they are too ugly for Teddy "The Splash" Kennedy to abide in his watery play grounds off Hyannis Port or Martha's Vineyard.
 
And Solar?  Let's concede that roof top solar panels can be relatively unobtrusive and that technology will continue to make them even less and less so. 
 
But, what about the massive solar farms that are proposed by the greenies?   Working technologies include massive solar mirror arrays covering thousands of acres of  land.  One technology includes solar water towers hundreds of feet high onto which acres of parabolic mirrors focus rays of sunlight that produce steam to run electric generators.
 
I don't know about you, but the wonder and majesty of the Mojave and Sonoran deserts and even Death Valley are some of the things I have come to love most about living in Southern California.    I can't drill in ANWR. but it's okay for you to litter the desert with thousands of acres of new age Easy Bake Ovens.  I don't get it.
 
As for the danger of polluting the pristine ANWR or the oceans of the outer shelf, can we please get real?   Modern drilling technology is astonishingly enviro friendly.  Can we not admit the truth that drilling in Prudhoe Bay, Alaska has for 20 years been effectively pollution free.  None of the environmental perils envisioned by the green cassandras has occurred.  The Prudhoe pipeline has been an unqualified success with no environmental incidents of significance.
 
Of course, we must not forget the caribou.   We were told ceaselessly that drilling operations and the Prudhoe pipeline would pose a major threat to the precious caribou.    Since drilling began in Prudhoe, the caribou herds -- a randy bunch apparently -- have increased from 3,000 head to more that 38,000.  Some threat!
 
And let us not forget, that drilling technology has improved by quantum degrees since operations first began at Prudhoe, decades ago.  
 
We obsess endlessly on the devastaton of hurricane Katrina in New Orleans.   But, completely forgotten in the left's Katrina lamentations is that the hurricane blasted through the highest concentration of off shore drillling rigs in all of the United States without a single oil spill of consequence.
 
So let's cut the BS, please!   DRILL HERE!   DRILL THERE!    DRILL EVERYWHERE, DAMNIT!  AND DO IT NOW!
 
THE MAELSTROM QUOTE OF THE DAY:  "I have never learned to fight for my freedom.  I was only good at enjoying it."  Oscar van den Boogard, lamenting the demographic onslaught of Islam in his native Belgium.  (Special thanks to Mark Steyn www.Steynonline.com)
 
The Maelstrom
 
Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (0) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive

GOV. PALIN SHOULD INVITE MCCAIN TO ANWAR

Alaska Governor Sarah Palin has indicated her support for drilling in Anwar.  She should force the issue by making a very public invitation to John McCain to tour Anwar with her.
 
The accompanying publicity would allow the American electorate to see what a barren and desolate area the proposed drilling site is.  The fallacy of McCain's Grand Canyon/Anwar analogy would be obvious, and McCain would have a sound, factual basis for reversing his previous opposition to drilling.
 
And while we're on the subject of oil drilling, can anybody explain to me why the President didn't unlaterally repeal the executive order barring off shore drilling?   He could have placed the Repblicans in position to claim that the only thing standing in the way of offshore drilling is the dems in Congress!  **Sigh!**
 
MAELSTROM QUOTE OF THE DAY:  "It is scarcely the same thing to put a man on the moon as to put a bone in your nose."  William A. Henry III, "In Defense of Elitism"  (If you haven't read this 1994 classic, you're in for a treat!)
 
 
Email ItEmail It | Print ItPrint It | CommentsComments (0) | TrackbacksTrackbacks (0) | Flag as offensiveFlag as Offensive
« Previous1Next »